[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 22 17:24:36 CDT 2005
WTNT71 KNHC 222224
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JOSE SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
515 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 515 PM CDT...2215Z...THE CENTER OF JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT THU AUG 25 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.9N 97.1W 53 X X X 53 MMTM 222N 979W 4 9 X X 13
20.1N 98.1W 30 1 X X 31 MMTX 210N 974W 27 1 X X 28
99 X X X 99 MMVR 192N 961W 99 X X X 99
MMSO 238N 982W X 2 X X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED
C FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED
D FROM 1PM WED TO 1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER KNABB
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