[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 22 17:24:36 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 222224
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JOSE SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
515 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 515 PM CDT...2215Z...THE CENTER OF JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.9N  97.1W      53  X  X  X 53   MMTM 222N 979W     4  9  X  X 13
20.1N  98.1W      30  1  X  X 31   MMTX 210N 974W    27  1  X  X 28
                  99  X  X  X 99   MMVR 192N 961W    99  X  X  X 99
MMSO 238N 982W     X  2  X  X  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
C FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
D FROM  1PM WED TO  1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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