[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 22 15:35:09 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 222034
SPFAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.1N  98.3W      45  X  X  X 45   MMTM 222N 979W    14  X  X  X 14
                  99  X  X  X 99   MMTX 210N 974W    44  X  X  X 44
                  99  X  X  X 99   MMVR 192N 961W    99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
C FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
D FROM  1PM WED TO  1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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