[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 150839
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON AUG 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU AUG 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

38.1N  63.8W      28  2  X  X 30   SYDNEY NS          X  X  4  5  9
39.3N  60.7W       2 18  2  X 22   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  5  4  9
41.3N  57.3W       X  2 13  2 17   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  1  6  7
ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  1  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  1  8  9
MONCTON NB         X  X  1  1  2   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  2  9 11
YARMOUTH NS        X  1  2  X  3   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  1 10 11
HALIFAX NS         X  1  4  2  7   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  8  8
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  2 10  2 14

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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