[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 140844
SPFAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN AUG 14 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED AUG 17 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.4N  48.4W      58  X  X  X 58   17.5N  51.0W       X 20  9  1 30
16.5N  49.7W      11 28  X  X 39

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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