[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 090233
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON AUG 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU AUG 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.7N  56.7W      50  1  X  X 51   25.5N  61.2W       X 11 16  1 28
24.5N  59.0W       3 32  X  X 35   BERMUDA            X  X  X  9  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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