[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 082044
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON AUG 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU AUG 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.6N  55.4W      50  X  X  X 50   25.1N  59.7W       X 15 10  1 26
24.3N  57.8W       2 31  1  X 34   BERMUDA            X  X  X  6  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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