[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 081443
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON AUG 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU AUG 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.5N  54.3W      46  X  X  1 47   24.6N  58.8W       X 13 13  X 26
24.0N  56.5W       8 24  X  X 32   BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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