[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 080833
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON AUG 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU AUG 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.4N  52.4W      47  X  X  X 47   25.1N  55.9W       X 17  8  1 26
24.2N  54.1W      15 16  X  X 31

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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