[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 6 09:46:44 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 061446
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT AUG 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE AUG  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

36.2N  55.1W      27  1  X  X 28   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  1  2  3
37.7N  53.4W      10  9  1  1 21   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  3  4  7
39.3N  51.1W       X 10  6  2 18   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  2  6  8

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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