[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 5 15:27:00 CDT 2005
WTNT73 KNHC 052026
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 05 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST MON AUG 8 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.1N 55.5W 30 X X X 30 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2
36.1N 54.5W 12 8 1 X 21 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 2 2
38.0N 53.0W 1 13 3 1 18 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 4 4
BERMUDA X 1 X 1 2 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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