[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 5 03:26:07 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 050825
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI AUG 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  36.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON AUG  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.9N  39.5W      49  X  X  X 49   17.7N  44.4W       X 14 15  X 29
16.7N  41.6W      20 15  X  X 35

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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