[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 050823
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI AUG 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON AUG  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.5N  57.0W      35  X  X  X 35   36.0N  55.0W       1 10  5  2 18
34.6N  56.1W      14  6  1  1 22

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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