[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 4 15:33:00 CDT 2005
WTNT73 KNHC 042032
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 04 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN AUG 7 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.2N 58.5W 29 X 1 X 30 34.5N 56.0W 4 10 3 2 19
34.0N 57.0W 12 7 1 2 22 BERMUDA X 1 2 3 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
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