[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 042030
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  34.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN AUG  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

13.5N  38.5W      45  X  X  X 45   14.5N  42.5W       1 18  4  1 24
14.0N  40.5W      21  9  1  X 31

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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