[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 4 09:32:44 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 041432
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU AUG 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SUN AUG  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.6N  59.7W      30  X  1  X 31   33.5N  57.0W       2 12  3  2 19
33.0N  58.0W       8 11  2  1 22   BERMUDA           99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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