[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 291436
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 29 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT OCT  2 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.0N  47.5W      32  1  X  X 33   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
35.0N  48.0W      12  9  1  1 23   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  3  3
36.5N  48.0W       1 13  3  2 19   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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