[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 270830
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  55
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU SEP 30 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.7N  82.9W      46  1  X  X 47   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  8  9
35.5N  80.0W       4 19  1  X 24   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  8  8
36.5N  76.0W       X  3 11  2 16   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  7  7
JACKSONVILLE FL   12  1  1  X 14   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  6  6
SAVANNAH GA       14  6  X  X 20   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
CHARLESTON SC      4 14  X  X 18   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC    1 15  2  X 18   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X 12  5  1 18   CEDAR KEY FL      99  X  X  X 99
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  7  9  X 16   ST MARKS FL       99  X  X  X 99
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  3 11  1 15   APALACHICOLA FL   22  X  X  X 22
NORFOLK VA         X  3 11  2 16   PANAMA CITY FL    17  X  X  X 17
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  8  5 13   PENSACOLA FL       2  X  X  X  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  4  7 11   GULF 29N 85W       4  X  X  X  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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