[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 270238
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  54
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED SEP 29 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.0N  82.5W      33  X  X  X 33   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1 10 11
35.5N  80.2W       5 15  1  1 22   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1 10 11
37.7N  75.8W       X  1 14  1 16   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X 11 11
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   BOSTON MA          X  X  X 10 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL  50  X  X  X 50   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  8  8
JACKSONVILLE FL   88  X  X  X 88   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  7  7
SAVANNAH GA       39  X  X  X 39   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC     17  3  X  X 20   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    5 12  2  X 19   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  3  3
WILMINGTON NC      1 13  5  X 19   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  6  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  9  9  X 18   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  4 12  1 17   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         X  3 14  1 18   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X 12  3 15   TAMPA FL           2  X  X  X  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  8  6 14   CEDAR KEY FL      99  X  X  X 99
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  4  9 13   ST MARKS FL       35  X  X  X 35
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2 10 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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