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WTNT31 KNHC 261438
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

...JEANNE NEARING THE TAMPA BAY AREA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD
BEACH TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA IS DISCONTINUED.  A HURRICANE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF
JUPITER INLET TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF
COAST SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO CHOKOLOSKEE...AND NORTH AND WEST OF THE
SUWANNEE RIVER TO DESTIN.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF ST.
AUGUSTINE FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA IS DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST.
AUGUSTINE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA FLORIDA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE NEAR THE TAMPA BAY
AREA IN A FEW HOURS...AND NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE OF THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST TO THE NORTH OF TAMPA BAY LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES.  WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE IN THE TAMPA BAY
AREA.  A WIND GUST TO 67 MPH WAS REPORTED AT VANDENBURG AIRPORT
NEAR TAMPA...AND A GUST TO 60 MPH WAS REPORTED AT SARASOTA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST.  A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL
IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....AND HIGHER AT THE HEADS OF BAYS.
TIDES COULD POSSIBLY REACH 3 TO 6 FEET IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW
NORTH OF TAMPA BAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...27.9 N... 82.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

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