[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 261436
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED SEP 29 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.8N  83.8W      46  X  X  X 46   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  9  9
33.1N  83.2W       6 21  X  X 27   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  9  9
35.6N  80.4W       X  3 17  1 21   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  9  9
FT PIERCE FL      17  X  X  X 17   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL  64  X  X  X 64   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL   36  X  X  X 36   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        8 13  1  X 22   FT MYERS FL        9  X  X  X  9
CHARLESTON SC      X 13  5  X 18   VENICE FL         99  X  X  X 99
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  5 11  1 17   TAMPA FL          99  X  X  X 99
WILMINGTON NC      X  1 12  2 15   CEDAR KEY FL      82  X  X  X 82
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  9  5 14   ST MARKS FL       48  X  X  X 48
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  5  9 14   APALACHICOLA FL   33  X  X  X 33
NORFOLK VA         X  X  5 11 16   PANAMA CITY FL    24  X  X  X 24
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1 14 15   PENSACOLA FL       4  3  X  X  7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X 15 15   MOBILE AL          1  1  X  X  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X 13 13   GULF 29N 85W      27  1  X  X 28
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X 11 11   GULF 29N 87W       1  1  X  X  2
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X 10 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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