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WTNT31 KNHC 260840
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

...JEANNE WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AS IT PASSES JUST
NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...HURRICANE WARNING FOR FLORIDA WEST
COAST...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANEE RIVER.  A
HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM HALLANDALE NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF HALLANDALE...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TO DESTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST SOUTH OF
ENGLEWOOD TO CHOKOLOSKEE...AND NORTH AND WEST OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER
TO DESTIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF
THE ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.1 WEST OR OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA ABOUT 20 MILES EAST OF SEBRING FLORIDA.  THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 45 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA.

JEANNE IS MOVING JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 13 MPH.  A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA TO NEAR THE TAMPA BAY AREA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THIS MAKES JEANNE A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.  JEANNE WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND.  HOWEVER...
WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 100 MILES INLAND ALONG
THE PATH OF JEANNE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES.  A FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING PROGRAM TOWER IN SEBASTIEN
FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 67 MPH WITH A GUST TO
81 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST.  A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL
IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....AND HIGHER AT THE HEADS OF BAYS.
TIDE COULD POSSIBLY REACH 3 TO 6 FEET IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH
OF TAMPA BAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE OVER FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...27.4 N... 81.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM EDT AND 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


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