[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 250230
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  44.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON SEP 27 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.5N  46.7W      46  1  X  X 47   20.0N  47.7W       1 20  4  1 26
18.2N  47.3W      20 12  X  X 32

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA


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