[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 242037
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  44.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON SEP 27 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.2N  46.6W      55  X  X  X 55   19.7N  47.6W       2 21  3  2 28
17.8N  47.2W      29  7  X  1 37

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN


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