[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 242030
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.6N  77.9W      46  X  X  X 46   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
27.4N  80.2W       7 25  X  X 32   KEY WEST FL        X  3  2  X  5
29.0N  81.4W       X 17  7  1 25   MARCO ISLAND FL    X 14  2  X 16
MYAK 241N 776W     4  1  X  X  5   FT MYERS FL        X 15  3  X 18
MYNN 251N 775W    24  X  X  1 25   VENICE FL          X 10  7  X 17
MYGF 266N 787W    36  3  X  X 39   TAMPA FL           X 10  9  1 20
MARATHON FL        X  7  1  X  8   CEDAR KEY FL       X  3 13  3 19
MIAMI FL           5 17  X  X 22   ST MARKS FL        X  X  8  7 15
W PALM BEACH FL    9 21  1  X 31   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  5  8 13
FT PIERCE FL       6 25  1  X 32   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  3  8 11
COCOA BEACH FL     2 27  X  X 29   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  8  8
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X 18  6  1 25   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  6  6
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  4 14  3 21   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  X 10  7 17   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  6 10 16   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  3 10 13   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  6  6 12
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1 10 11   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  6  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  9  9   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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