[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 230827
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 23 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN SEP 26 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

13.4N  42.6W      70  X  X  X 70   14.2N  44.0W      29  5  X  1 35
13.6N  43.2W      52  X  X  X 52

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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