[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 220831
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 22 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT SEP 25 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.4N  47.4W      33  3  X  X 36   38.5N  43.0W       X  1 15  2 18
34.0N  45.0W       X 21  4  X 25   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH


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