[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 220238
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.1N  48.3W      37  1  X  X 38   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2
31.7N  46.2W       1 21  3  X 25   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  6  6
35.5N  44.0W       X  1 15  2 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BERG/AVILA


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