[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 210242
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 20 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  37.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU SEP 23 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.5N  41.5W      48  X  X  X 48   15.4N  44.3W       9 16  2  1 28
15.1N  43.0W      32  4  X  X 36

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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