[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 210240
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
JEANNE...LOCATED ABOUT 405 MILES EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE
BAHAMAS...ON HURRICANE KARL...LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...AND ON TROPICAL STORM
LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 940 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...A PARTIAL REMNANT OF FORMER TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IVAN...IS LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO
OCCUR...BUT CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE IN THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN/BERG

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