[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 191415
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 19 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  42.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED SEP 22 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.7N  46.1W      48  X  X  X 48   20.6N  48.4W       7 17  2  1 27
18.9N  47.3W      33  3  X  X 36

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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