[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 181436
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.5N  73.5W      52  X  X  X 52   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  4  5
25.0N  73.5W      25  6  1  X 32   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  4  5
26.5N  73.5W       3 18  3  1 25   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  4  4
MBJT 215N 712W    37  X  X  X 37   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W    85  X  X  X 85   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W    36  X  X  1 37   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W    16  3  1  1 21   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  4  3  2  9   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3
MYNN 251N 775W     X  6  3  3 12   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  1  3  5  9   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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