[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 181420
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 18 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  39.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.1N  42.9W      49  X  X  X 49   19.0N  46.5W       X 22  4  1 27
17.9N  44.7W      22 12  1  X 35

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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