[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 17 15:28:09 CDT 2004
WTNT72 KNHC 172027
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST MON SEP 20 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.3N 39.0W 48 X X X 48 17.2N 41.8W 1 21 4 1 27
16.3N 40.4W 22 11 1 X 34
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
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