[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 171424
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON SEP 20 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

22.2N  73.3W      53  X  X  X 53   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  8  9
23.8N  74.0W      22 14  1  X 37   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  7  8
25.0N  74.6W       2 27  1  1 31   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  7  7
MTPP 186N 724W    15  X  X  X 15   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  6  6
MUGM 200N 751W     9  2  X  X 11   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  1  2  2  5   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3
MDPP 198N 707W    99  X  X  X 99   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5
MBJT 215N 712W    46  X  X  X 46   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5
MYMM 224N 730W    52  X  X  X 52   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  5  5
MYSM 241N 745W    10 23  1  X 34   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  4  4
MYEG 235N 758W     3 20  2  X 25   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  5  7  4 16   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  5  9  4 18   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  6  8 14   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  6  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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