[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 171159
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

...JEANNE DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF
HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF
HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO
DOMINGO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9
WEST.  THIS POSITION IS ON THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC NEAR PUERTA PLAT ABOUT 115 MILES...190 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND
TURK.

JEANNE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A
MOSTLY NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...IN SMALL AREA
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE INTERACTS WITH HISPANIOLA
BUT JEANNE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY
HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...19.8 N... 70.9 W.  MOVEMENT
DRIFTING WESTWARD.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA/LAWRENCE


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