[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 170230
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN SEP 19 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.1N  72.4W      43  1  X  X 44   MARATHON FL        X  X  1  6  7
22.3N  73.7W      18 11  1  X 30   MIAMI FL           X  X  1 10 11
23.6N  74.9W       X 20  4  1 25   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1 11 12
MDSD 185N 697W    99  X  X  X 99   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 12 12
MTPP 186N 724W     8  1  X  X  9   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X 11 11
MTCA 183N 738W     2  1  X  1  4   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  9  9
MUGM 200N 751W     7  6  1  1 15   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  6  6
MUCM 214N 779W     X  2  5  3 10   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  5  5
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  3  4   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5
MDPP 198N 707W    71  X  X  X 71   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3
MBJT 215N 712W    44  X  X  X 44   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W    25  6  1  X 32   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
MYSM 241N 745W     X 18  6  1 25   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  6  6
MYEG 235N 758W     X 14  7  2 23   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  6  6
MYAK 241N 776W     X  2 11  5 18   VENICE FL          X  X  X  5  5
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1 11  7 19   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  5  5
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  3 13 16   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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