[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 161743
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004

...HURRICANE JEANNE MOVING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM
PUERTO PLATA TO ISLA SAONA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF
HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS TO WEST OF PUERTO PLATA...AND
FROM ISLA SAONA TO SANTO DOMINGO.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM WEST OF PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO MONTE
CRISTO AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM
ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.  THESE WATCHES MAY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR INLAND ABOUT 65
MILES... 105 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR  7 MPH
...11 KM/HR.  A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST INLAND OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JEAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY
AS A RESULT OF ITS ENCOUNTER WITH HISPANIOLA...BUT SHOULD REGAIN
HURRICANE STRENGTH ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  70 MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  989 MB...29.20 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL CONTINUE SUBSIDING ALONG THE COASTLINE OF PUERTO RICO
DURING THE DAY.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY
HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...18.8 N... 69.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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