[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT34 KNHC 161737
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  57A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

...IVAN MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AS IT
WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
WEST OF THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER TO
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.  THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.1 WEST OR ABOUT  45 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA.

IVAN IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH.  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING
THE CENTER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  70 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  MAXWELL AIR FORCE BASE NEAR
MONTGOMERY ALABAMA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 MPH WITH
A GUST TO 53 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY

DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.

MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN ALABAMA...
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...
WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...32.6 N... 87.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


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