[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 161416
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-161600-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
808 AM EDT THU SEP 16 2004

...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND COAST FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA TO YANKEETOWN...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA TO
DESTIN AND WEST TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
COAST FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA TO YANKEETOWN. HOWEVER...THE
HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM
APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN AND WEST TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. THE INLAND
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE INLAND FLORIDA
BIG BEND COUNTIES OF GADSDEN...LEON AND LIBERTY. THE INLAND TROPICAL
STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND FOR SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM EDT (1000 AM
CDT) FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND...AND ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THESE SAME AREAS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 AM CDT (8 AM EDT)...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS INLAND NEAR
LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 90 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA. IVAN IS MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST OF DUE
NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE AS IVAN
MOVES FURTHER INLAND. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...OR
28.50 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANY SCHOOLS...BUSINESSES...STATE AND COUNTY AND LOCAL OFFICES WILL
BE CLOSED TODAY. FOR INFORMATION ON THE STATUS OF EVACUATION ORDERS
AND SPECIFIC CLOSURE INFORMATION...STAY TUNED TO LOCAL TELEVISION AND
RADIO STATIONS.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF IVAN
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. THIS
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SPREAD INTO MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA TODAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR HAS BEEN 6 TO 8 INCHES IN
WALTON COUNTY FLORIDA...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES FURTHER EAST IN THE
PANHANDLE AND ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN
IS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE EASTERN PANHANDLE AND
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES FURTHER EAST. WHILE WIDESPREAD
INLAND FLOODING HAS NOT BEEN REPORTED...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND LOW LYING
AREAS...AND NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS. IN ADDITION...SHARP RISES WILL
OCCUR ON MAIN STEM RIVERS. SOME RIVERS AND CREEKS IN SOUTHWEST
GEORGIA MAY APPROACH MINOR FLOOD LEVEL. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN
THE HEADWATERS OF THE CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER FROM IVAN MAY CREATE
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE CHATTAHOOCHEE AND APALACHICOLA RIVERS NEXT
WEEK. THE FOLLOWING BASINS COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY IVAN.

IN ALABAMA...THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE AND PEA RIVER BASINS.

IN FLORIDA...THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE...APALACHICOLA...CHIPOLA AND
OCHLOCKONEE RIVERS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...THE C TOWER 15 MILES SOUTH OF ST GEORGE ISLAND...AT 100
FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE...IS REPORTING WINDS OF 38 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
44 KNOTS. THE OFFSHORE GULF BUOYS ARE OBSERVING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25
TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS.

REPRESENTATIVE WINDS AT SOME INLAND AND COASTAL LOCATIONS...
CEDAR KEY...28 MPH...GUSTS 31 MPH.
KEATON BEACH...26 MPH...GUSTS 35 MPH.
SHELL POINT...18 MPH...GUSTS 22 MPH.
TALLAHASSEE...23 MPH...GUSTS 32 MPH.
APALACHICOLA...28 MPH...GUSTS 39 MPH.
DOTHAN...28 MPH...GUSTS 43 MPH.
BAINBRIDGE...17 MPH...GUSTS 30 MPH.

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS HURRICANE IVAN WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL
STORM AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS ALABAMA THIS EVENING. ON
THIS TRACK...PERIODS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
COASTAL WATERS...AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA.

...TORNADO THREAT...
TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
FLORIDA BIG BEND.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES HAVE BEEN RUNNING ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL OVERNIGHT AND THIS
MORNING ALONG MOST OF THE COAST...WITH 3 TO 4 FOOT DEPARTURES IN THE
APALACHEE BAY. COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ELEVATED AT
THESE DEPARTURES THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. SEAS AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS
ARE STILL RUNNING 16 TO 23 FEET AND LARGE BREAKERS AND LARGE SWELLS
WILL CONTINUE TO POUND THE COASTLINE THROUGH THE DAY.

LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY...

EAST PASS NEAR DESTIN...
LOW TIDE...933 AM.
HIGH TIDE...1222 AM FRIDAY.

SAINT ANDREW BAY NEAR PANAMA CITY...
LOW TIDE...702 AM.
HIGH TIDE...1152 PM.

APALACHICOLA...
LOW TIDE...1146 AM.
HIGH TIDE...608 PM.

SAINT GEORGE ISLAND AT SIKES CUT...
HIGH TIDE...510 PM.
LOW TIDE...1024 AM AND 1034 PM.

OCHLOCKONEE BAY...
HIGH TIDE...441 PM.
LOW TIDE...1015 AM AND 1024 PM.

SHELL POINT...
HIGH TIDE...405 PM.
LOW TIDE...953 AM AND 1002 PM.

SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE...
HIGH TIDE...408 PM.
LOW TIDE...956 AM AND 1005 PM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND BEACHES DUE TO INCREASED WAVE ACTION AND LARGE
SWELLS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 11 AM CDT (NOON EDT).

$$

18-WOOL


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