[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT34 KNHC 161131
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  56A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

...IVAN SPREADING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS INLAND...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA TO YANKEETOWN. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO
GRAND ISLE.

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED INLAND
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.7 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA.

IVAN IS MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH.  A
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ACROSS ALABAMA IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE HURRICANE
MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD SPREAD INLAND UP TO ABOUT
150 MILES NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY

DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AREA...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...31.6 N... 87.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA/FRANKLIN


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