[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLIX 160007
HLSLIX
LAZ038-040-046>050-056>070-MSZ080>082-160100-

HURRICANE IVAN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
700 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2004

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN IN THE NORTHERN GULF
   APPROACHING COAST..
...HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
   INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA EXTENDING EAST
   ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...
...WINDS AND TIDES RAPIDLY INCREASING ACROSS COASTAL MISSISSIPPI
   AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY INTENDED FOR THE RESIDENTS OF THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES IN LOUISIANA...ASCENSION...ASSUMPTION...
EAST BATON ROUGE...IBERVILLE...JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...LIVINGSTON...
ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JAMES...ST JOHN
THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE...WEST BATON
ROUGE.

AND THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI...HANCOCK...HARRISON...
JACKSON.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI GULF
COAST AND ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST FROM GRAND ISLE EASTWARD
INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS
AREA AND THE CITIES OF BILOXI AND GULFPORT.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FROM WEST OF GRAND ISLE WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER BATON ROUGE AREA AND THE
PARISHES AROUND LAKE MAUREPAS.

...STORM INFORMATION SUMMARY...
AT 700 PM CDT...HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED AT 28.9 NORTH AND
88.2 WEST...ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT OR 100
MILES SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA COASTLINE. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH
AT 14 MILES AN HOUR.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IVAN IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST VERY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MILES AN HOUR WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IVAN REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE.
IVAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...AT LEAST A
CATEGORY THREE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EVACUATIONS AND PREPARATIONS FOR A MAJOR HURRICANE SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY ARE 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. TIDES HAVE
RISEN 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS
AND CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY INCREASE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI
COAST AND EAST SHORES OF ORLEANS..ST BERNARD AND PLAQUEMINES
PARISHES. INUNDATION OF LOW LYING MISSISSIPPI COASTAL AREAS AND
OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WILL
OCCUR THROUGH TONIGHT. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG
AREAS SURROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

EXTREME STORM SURGE VALUES OF 10 TO 16 FEET AND LOCALLY HIGHER...
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL...WITH THE HIGHEST THREAT FROM SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD.  SLIGHTLY LOWER...STILL BUT SIGNIFICANT STORM
SURGES... WILL OCCUR TO THE WEST OF WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKES
LANDFALL...RESULTING IN STORM SURGE FLOODING IN LOW LYING COASTAL
AREAS OF OF MISSISSIPPI AND AREAS OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION
LEVEES IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5
FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED AFFECTING AREAS BORDERING LAKE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. LARGE WAVES BATTERING WAVES WILL ACCOMPANY THE
STORM SURGE.

...WIND IMPACTS....
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE OVER PARISHES ADJACENT TO LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. LAKEFRONT
AIRPORT IN NEW ORLEANS REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 53 MPH AT 6 PM CDT. AN
ELEVATED NOAA AUTOMATED WIND STATION AT BURAS...REPORTED A 85 MPH
WIND GUST AT 5 PM CDT. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION
DURING THE EVENING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...WINDS IN EXCESS 74 MPH...WILL OVERSPREAD
COASTAL MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE
WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
FROM THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA THROUGH PLAQUEMINES PARISH...
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONSIDERABLY HIGHER WIND GUSTS
CAN BE ALSO EXPECTED IN HIGH RISE BUILDINGS AND ELEVATED BRIDGES AND
ROADWAYS.

EXTREME WIND GUSTS OF 110 TO 135 MPH...AND LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE
LIKELY NEAR WHERE HURRICANE IVAN MAKES LANDFALL...WITH THE HIGHEST
THREAT FROM THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST EASTWARD.
EXTENSIVE WIND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES NEAR THE COAST IS POSSIBLE WITH
WIND GUSTS OF THIS STRENGTH...ESPECIALLY TO MOBILE HOMES.

...HEAVY RAINFALL...
RAINBANDS WITH HEAVY RAIN HAVE SPREAD INTO COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND
EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAINBANDS AND
HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD INLAND THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP FROM THE HEAVY
RAIN.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AS HURRICANE IVAN
APPROACHES THE COAST. THE MOSTLY LIKELY THREAT WILL BE ALONG
THE MISSISSIPPI COAST AND COASTAL AREAS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF NEW
ORLEANS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 900 PM THIS EVENING.

$$
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