[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 152335
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM AST WED SEP 15 2004

...JEANNE NOW MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN COAST
   OF PUERTO RICO...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OCCURRING ON PUERTO RICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...AND ALONG
THE EASTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD
TO ISLA SAONA. THIS WARNING MAY BE EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE
EASTERN AND NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABRERA
TO PUERTO PLATA...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TONIGHT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THEACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U. S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THIS WARNING MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.0 WEST OR OVER
NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO NEAR ISABELA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 90 MILES
...145 KM EAST OF EASTERN TIP OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
PUERTO RICO AT NEAR  10 MPH...17 KM/HR.  HOWEVER...A GENERAL MOTION
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...AND
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE FORECAST MOTION COULD BRING
THE CENTER OF JEANNE NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  AFTER THE TROPICAL STORM MOVES AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO...SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MONA PASSAGE AND JEANNE COULD
BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN STILL BE
EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.  SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
BETWEEN 8 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH CAMERIO IN THE EASTERN PORTION
OF THE ISLAND HAVING RECEIVED MORE THAN 18 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ON
ST. CROIX...THE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS NOW ABOVE 12 INCHES. MANY
RIVERS ON PUERTO RICO ARE ALREADY AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N... 67.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


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