[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLIX 150258
HLSLIX
LAZ038-040-046>050-056>070-MSZ080>082-151000-

HURRICANE IVAN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 14 2004


...HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO
   APALACHICOLA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA...
...HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
   SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FROM GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
   ...INCLUDING THE BATON ROUGE AREA...

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
   MEXICO...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY INTENDED FOR THE RESIDENTS OF THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES IN LOUISIANA...ASCENSION...ASSUMPTION...
EAST BATON ROUGE...IBERVILLE...JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...LIVINGSTON...
ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JAMES...ST JOHN
THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE...WEST BATON
ROUGE.

AND THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI...HANCOCK...HARRISON...
JACKSON.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI GULF
COAST AND ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST TO GRAND ISLE INCLUDING LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND THE
BILOXI/GULFPORT MUNICIPALITIES.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI FROM GRAND ISLE
WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER BATON
ROUGE AREA AND THE PARISHES AROUND LAKE MAUREPAS.

...STORM INFORMATION SUMMARY...
AT 10 PM CDT...HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED AT 25.1 NORTH AND
87.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST
AT 12 MILES AN HOUR AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MILES AN HOUR WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IVAN REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES
AND ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IVAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEVERAL PARISHES HAVE ISSUED EVACUATION ORDERS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
INCLUDING ORLEANS...JEFFERSON...ST BERNARD...PLAQUEMINES AND ST
CHARLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA FOR EVACUATION ORDERS
FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY AGENCIES.

IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...LOCAL GOVERNMENTS IN HARRISON...HANCOCK AND
JACKSON COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN MANY COASTAL
AND LOW LYING AREAS. PLEASE LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA AND CONSULT
LOCAL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN 24
HOURS. RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AND
ALL OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR
THE LIKELIHOOD OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS. PERSONS IN MOBILE HOMES
SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. PERSONS RESIDING
NEAR THE COAST SHOULD MOVE INLAND. ALL OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT COULD
BECOME AIRBORNE AND BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND SHOULD BE SECURED.
RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL AND
STATE GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY NEAR 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. DUE TO THE
LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IVAN...TIDES WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WELL
IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE. SOME TIDAL FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
IS LIKELY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. EXTREME STORM SURGE VALUES OF 10
TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF
WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER SURGES MAY
RESULT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST.

ORLEANS LEVEE DISTRICT AND LAKE BORGNE LEVEE DISTRICT HAVE CLOSED
THE FLOOD GATES AT BAYOU BIENVENUE AND BAYOU DUPREE.

...WIND IMPACTS....
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVER COASTAL
AREAS TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM WINDS...WINDS OF 40 MPH OR
HIGHER...WILL SPREAD INTO THE COASTAL AREAS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THEN SPREAD INLAND. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IVAN...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY SPREAD INTO THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT.

...HEAVY RAINFALL...
HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IVAN ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. RIVER FLOODING MAY
DEVELOP LATER THIS WEEK FROM THE HEAVY RAIN.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 500 AM WEDNESDAY.

$$

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