[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 142107
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER   5...COREECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

...CORRECTED TO INCLUDE STORM SURGE INFORMATION

...JEANNE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN
   SEA AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...
...HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA
SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...
AND ST. MARTEEN.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATE THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.9 WEST OR ABOUT  85 MILES...
140 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR ST. CROIX LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND NEAR PUERTO RICO WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS INDICATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  40 MILES
... 65 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS  998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...16.8 N... 63.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


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