[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 140958
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ700-
750-755-770-775-141330-

HURRICANE IVAN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
600 AM EDT TUE SEP 14 2004

...IVAN ENTERING THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO...
...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAINT MARKS RIVER WEST
TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES.

IN NORTHERN FLORIDA...
BAY...CALHOUN...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...
JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...
TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WALTON...AND WASHINGTON.

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.

IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...
COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...
LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...
TERRELL...THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER AND WORTH.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WATCH EXTENDS ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM THE SAINT MARKS
RIVER TO DESTIN AND THEN WEST TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED BY A
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.0 WEST
OR ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IVAN
REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
100 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A
HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 924 MB...27.29 INCHES.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF IVAN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS STORM AND BE PREPARED TO FOLLOW THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS SHOULD EVACUATION
ORDERS BE ISSUED. PREPARATIONS FOR STORM IMPACT SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION. RESIDENCE ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BOARD UP WINDOWS OR
CONSIDER APPLYING STORM SHUTTERS. AFFECTED RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK UP
ON NECESSARY SUPPLIES SUCH AS DRINKING WATER...BATTERIES...NON
PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS...AND PRESCRIPTION DRUGS. ALSO...BE SURE TO
HAVE A FULL TANK OF GAS AND PLENTY OF EXTRA CASH ON HAND. AREA
RESIDENTS SHOULD ALSO SECURE OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS AND
OUTDOOR FURNITURE THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE IN THE WIND.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
HEAVY RAINS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING AREAS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WEDNESDAY WITH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INCREASING WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 5 TO 10 INCH RANGE ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE...WITH 3 TO 6 INCH AMOUNTS OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND ONE TO THREE INCH TOTALS FOR THE EASTERN BIG
BEND. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN MANY AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND LOW LYING
AREAS...AND NEAR SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS. IN ADDITION...MAIN STEM
RIVER FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER IN THE WEEK. RAINFALL FROM
TROPICAL STORM FRANCIS GENERATED ABOVE NORMAL FLOWS ON THE FLINT
RIVER AND KINCHAFOONEE AND MUCKALEE CREEKS. RAINFALL FROM FRANCIS
MOSTLY MISSED THE CHATTAHOOCHEE...PEA...CHOCTAWHATCHEE...
APALACHICOLA...AND CHIPOLA RIVER BASINS...WHERE FLOWS ARE STILL
RELATIVELY LOW. OF SPECIAL CONCERN IS THAT IVAN WILL BE ARRIVING
WHILE FLOWS ARE STILL RELATIVELY HIGH ON THE FLINT RIVER BASIN. THIS
WILL REQUIRE CLOSE MONITORING AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY GENERATE
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RISES. HOWEVER...ALL OF THE FOLLOWING BASINS
COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY IVAN.

IN ALABAMA...THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE AND PEA RIVER BASINS.

IN GEORGIA...THE FLINT RIVER...KINCHAFOONEE CREEK...AND MUCKALEE
CREEK.

IN FLORIDA...THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE...APALACHICOLA...CHIPOLA...AND
OCHLOCKONEE RIVERS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
IVAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR MOBILE BAY AROUND SUNRISE ON
THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE GULF
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH TROPICAL FORCE WINDS OVER-SPREADING PARTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND...AND MOST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DURING THIS TIME. WHILE THE
CORE OF INTENSE HURRICANE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF DESTIN
AT LANDFALL...SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...OR FREQUENT GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE STORM SURGE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PANHANDLE COAST COULD
REACH 7 TO 9 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY BASED ON THE LATEST
FORECAST FOR IVAN. AN EVEN HIGHER SURGE OF 10 TO 11 FEET WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE BAYS...INCLUDING WEST BAY...NORTH BAY...AND
SAINT JOSEPH BAY.

LOCAL TIDES FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

EAST PASS (DESTIN)...
HIGH TIDE...139 AM AND 1254 PM WEDNESDAY AND 1236 AM THURSDAY.
LOW TIDE...735 AM AND 859 PM WEDNESDAY AND 933 AM THURSDAY.

SAINT ANDREW BAY (PANAMA CITY)
HIGH TIDE...109 AM AND 1224 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 1206 AM AND 1152 PM
THURSDAY. LOW TIDE...504 AM AND 628 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 702 AM
THURSDAY.

APALACHICOLA...
HIGH TIDE...513 AM AND 513 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 524 AM AND 608 PM
THURSDAY. LOW TIDE...1146 AM AND 1134 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 1224 AM AND
1156 PM THURSDAY.

SAINT GEORGE ISLAND (SIKES CUT)...
HIGH TIDE...415 AM AND 415 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 426 AM AND 510 PM
THURSDAY. LOW TIDE...950 AM AND 1012 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 1024 AM AND
1034 PM THURSDAY.

OCHLOCKONNEE BAY...
HIGH TIDE...356 AM AND 401 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 416 AM AND 441 PM
THURSDAY. LOW TIDE...939 AM AND 958 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 1015 AM AND
1024 PM THURSDAY.

SHELL POINT...
HIGH TIDE...320 AM AND 325 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 340 AM AND 405 PM
THURSDAY. LOW TIDE...917 AM AND 936 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 953 AM AND
1002 PM THURSDAY.

SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE...
HIGH TIDE...323 AM AND 328 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 343 AM AND 408 PM
THURSDAY. LOW TIDE...920 AM AND 939 PM WEDNESDAY...AND 956 AM AND
1005 PM THURSDAY.

...RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL BE DEVELOPING TODAY ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FACING BEACHES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...INCLUDING SAINT
GEORGE ISLAND. STRONG RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THE SUWANNEE
RIVER ALL THE WAY AROUND TO DESTIN DUE TO INCREASED WAVE ACTION AND
ONSHORE SWELLS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE...FLORIDA AROUND 9 AM EDT (8 AM CDT).

$$

BOLINSKI
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net