[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KEYW 122132
HLSEYW
FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-130030-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...HURRICANE IVAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
530 PM EDT SUN SEP 12 2004

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS AND THE
DRY TORTUGAS...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL REMAIN CLOSED MONDAY.
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE STILL MAINTAINING A
MANDATORY EVACUATION DUE TO THE THREAT OF HURRICANE IVAN AND NOT
RECOMMENDING RE-ENTRY INTO THE KEYS UNTIL THE THREAT HAS BEEN
MINIMIZED. THE MONROE COUNTY INFORMATION HOT-LINE HAS THE LATEST
INFORMATION. THEY MAY BE REACHED AT 1 800...9 5 5...5 5 0 4. THE KEY
WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REMAINS CLOSED TO COMMERCIAL TRAFFIC AT
THIS TIME. GREYHOUND BUS LINES SERVICE IS STILL SUSPENDED. FOR
UPDATES AND DETAILS ON GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE...CALL 1 800...2 3
1...2 2 2 2.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 225 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. THIS IS ABOUT 360 MILES
SOUTH OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES IVAN AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF IVAN IS
EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE WESTERN END OF CUBA MONDAY
AFTERNOON OR EVENING. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 916
MB...OR 27.05 INCHES OF MERCURY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MILES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...WINDS OVER THE LOWER KEYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS ARE FROM
THE EAST NEAR 20 MILES PER HOUR. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
25 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH TOMORROW. BY MONDAY
NIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 30 MILES PER HOUR...WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS AND DRY TORTUGAS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED IN THE KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE
OF HURRICANE IVAN. HOWEVER...HIGH TIDES IN THE LOWER KEYS COULD RUN
ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT. THE NEXT
HIGH TIDES IN KEY WEST HARBOR WILL OCCUR AT 1005 PM TONIGHT AND 949
AM MONDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY THAT HURRICANE IVAN WILL PASS WITHIN 75 MILES OF
KEY WEST IS TWELVE PERCENT.

 ...MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO SEVEN TO TEN FEET OUTSIDE THE REEF AND
TWO TO FOUR FEET INSIDE THE REEF BY TOMORROW EVENING. MARINERS
SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS UNTIL THE HURRICANE IVAN THREAT HAS PASSED.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT CONCERNING HURRICANE IVAN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
830 PM.

$$

DEVANAS/SD




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