[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 090816
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 09 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN SEP 12 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.2N  74.3W      46  X  X  X 46   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  2  3
17.6N  76.4W       5 27  1  X 33   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  4  5  9
19.1N  78.3W       X 15 12  1 28   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  4  8 12
MDCB 176N 714W    12  1  X  X 13   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  8  9
MTPP 186N 724W     9  4  1  X 14   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  6  6
MTCA 183N 738W    19  8  1  X 28   MARATHON FL        X  X  1 12 13
MKJP 179N 768W     1 30  X  X 31   MIAMI FL           X  X  X 10 10
MKJS 185N 779W     X 22  6  X 28   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  7  7
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X 10  7 17   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  5  5
MUGM 200N 751W     X 17  3  1 21   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  2 17  3 22   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X 10 10 20   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1 12 13
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  3 12 15   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  9  9
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1 14 15   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  7  7   VENICE FL          X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1  1  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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