[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 9 03:15:36 CDT 2004


WTNT75 KNHC 090815
SPFAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 09 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  34.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN SEP 12 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.2N  31.0W      29  X  X  X 29   38.3N  26.6W       5  9  2  2 18
37.8N  28.9W      16  3  1  1 21

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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