[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT31 KWNH 081545
TCPAT1


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 59 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
11 AM EDT WED SEP 08 2004


...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES EXITING THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS....SERIOUS FLOODING AND A TORNADO THREAT CONTINUE
OVER THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINAS...EASTERN KENTUCKY...WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN
VIRGINIA...AND NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY. FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST...ALONG THE SPINE OF THE
APPALACHIANS...AND PORTIONS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES FROM
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTH
CAROLINIA...CENTRAL AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINIA...CENTRAL AND
WESTERN VIRGINIA...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...WEST
VIRGINIA...MARYLAND...EASTERN KENTUCKY...EASTERN OHIO...MOST OF
PENNSYLVANIA... CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW YORK STATE.  THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA VALID THRU
2 PM OR 18 Z.

AT 11 AM EDT...15Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR 50
MILES TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1000 MB OR 29.53 INCHES.  FRANCES HAS BEEN MOVING
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 15 MPH. FRANCES IS FORECAST
TO BE OVER WEST VIRGINIA BY TONIGHT MOVING TO THE NEW
YORK/PENNSYLVANIA BORDER BY THURSDAY MORNING AS IT BECOMES AN
EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.  THE REMNANTS OF FRANCES WILL
ACCELERATE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TO THE NEW YORK/CANADA BORDER BY
THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL BE WELL INTO NORTHEAST CANADA BY FRIDAY
MORNING.

SELECTED 36 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THRU 8 AM EDT:

LOCATION               STORM TOTAL

NORTH CAROLINA...

ROBINSON CREEK		10.63
CONNESTE FALL		10.06
BEARWALLOW TOWER	9.24
CLEAR CREEK		8.95
JONAS BRIDGE		8.91
MT. MITCHELL		8.82
HIGHLANDS		8.24
BEAVERDAM CREEK		8.24
LINVILLE		8.00
BALSAM GROVE		7.75

SOUTH CAROLINA...

WALHALLA		7.65
UNION			6.60
JOCASSEE		6.23
ANDERSON		5.95

GEORGIA...

HARTWELL DAM		6.18
RICHARD RUSSELL DAM	6.08
TOCCOA			6.00
MOUNTAIN CITY		5.80
CLAYTON			5.41

KENTUCKY...

MIDDLESBORO		4.72
BLACK MOUNTAIN		4.62
KINGDOM COME		3.67
DAVIS FORK		3.40

TENNESSEE...

NEWFOUND GAP		4.06
MOUNT LECONTE		3.40
CROSSVILLE		2.16
OAK RIDGE		1.97

WEST VIRGINIA...

GRANTSVILLE		3.00
BLUEFIELD		2.49
CHARLESTON		2.01
EAST LYNN		2.00

VIRGINIA...

ROANOKE			2.73
LYNCHBURG		1.39
CLINTWOOD		1.30

OHIO...

NEW LEXINGTON		2.55
SOUTH POINT		1.75
ZANESVILLE		1.27
COLUMBUS		0.73

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4-7 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOUR PERIOD OVER THE
UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO PORTIONS OF NEW
YORK STATE.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...15Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB OR 29.53 INCHES MOVING
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 15 MPH.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. REFER
TO STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM.

ZIEGENFELDER/HALBACH


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