[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 081448
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 08 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT SEP 11 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.5N  71.0W      47  X  X  X 47   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  4  4
16.0N  73.5W       2 31  X  X 33   MDPP 198N 707W     X  2  2  1  5
17.5N  76.0W       X  7 19  1 27   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  1  2
SKPG 125N 717W    14  2  X  X 16   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  2  4
TNCC 122N 690W    25  X  X  X 25   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3
MDSD 185N 697W     1  4  X  X  5   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1  7  8
MDCB 176N 714W     3 19  1  X 23   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  9  9
MTPP 186N 724W     X 16  4  X 20   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  5  5
MTCA 183N 738W     X 18  8  X 26   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W     X  2 21  2 25   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X 17  5 22   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1 13 14   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  1 17  2 20   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  8  8
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  6 12 18   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 15 15   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X 11 11   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 10 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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